Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Week 8 NFL Power Rating Picks

The further into the NFL season we go, the more line movement we are seeing in the first few days of betting the new NFL card.

Early numbers have pointed to two side plays in the NFL Power Rating Picks for Week 8, one favorite and one underdog.

These picks are 12-6 ATS (67-percent) through Week 7 and looking to hit ‘70’ this Sunday.

Early NFL power rating picks for the Week started out on the right foot Sunday when the Pittsburgh Steelers pulled the cover out of their sleeves in the final minutes of the fourth quarter. The New York Jets did their part against the Raiders, too, but Atlanta was unable to hang with the Cowboys.

Dallas is now 5-0 ATS off their bye and money moved that line heavily but covering was never a question as the Boys registered their highest offensive output since Week 2, 2008!

Power rating picks needed the Sunday nighter and betting on the Giants off that loss in New Orleans seemed like it had a good shot of hitting. Unfortunately Arizona didn’t see things that way and the early picks ended up 2-2 ATS for the week.

Results from these early plays, which don’t account for stats from the most recent games but take advantage of early line value are now 13-8 (62-percent) overall; 12-6 ATS and 1-2 when

BetRepublic's NFL Power Rating Picks For Week 8

1. Chicago -13.5: This is a big number but Cleveland has shown great difficulty scoring this year, especially away from home.

2. Jacksonville +3: Rare power rating spot that came up only three times in 2008 (3-0 ATS) and was "live" once this year with Washington in Week 5 in Carolina, also a winner. It seems the oddsmakers had to make Tennessee a favorite here, coming off a bye, playing at home and needing a win in the worst way. But the Jags are also rested and are 3-1 SU in their past four outings, the one goose egg in Seattle standing out as a black eye.

These plays are generated from a system that matches up ratings from each team in the league, based on statistics and adjusted for injuries, factors in the pointspread and then accounts for home field advantage. Results are graded based on the team’s situation that week (i.e. home favorite, road dog).

It’s not suggested to use the BRPR plays as the sole foundation of a bet but over the years the system has had a proven track record and can be a great tool for supporting other handicapping, systems or trends on a game.

0 Comments: